With 40 runners involved in the race, predicting the winner of the Grand National is no easy feat. In 2022, Noble Yeats upset the odds at +5000 by winning the 174th renewal of the world-famous steeplechase.
Here is a look at the five most likely winners this year based on the odds available on each runner in the field.
Noble Yeats (+800)
Emmet Mullins will have had the Grand National in mind all season with his talented chaser. The 2022 winner is the +800 favorite in the bet on horse racing online market for the Aintree contest. Those odds suggest he is the most likely winner this year.
The eight-year-old relished the bigger fences and the stamina test in the race last year. He finished ahead of Any Second Now and Delta Work respectively, two fellow Irish horses that are proven at the highest level in the sport.
Grand National hero Noble Yeats is back to winning ways at Wexford! pic.twitter.com/QRAIgiamFW
— At The Races (@AtTheRaces) October 31, 2022
Noble Yeats will need to carry 15lb more on his back this year than he did last April, but his official rating has improved considerably since then, so he may be good enough to replicate what Tiger Roll achieved in 2019 by defending his crown.
Gaillard Du Mesnil (+1200)
When he won the Grand National in 2022, Noble Yeats was the first seven-year-old to win the steeplechase in 62 years. Irish trainer Willie Mullins will be hoping his horse Gaillard Du Mesnil can become the latest winner from that age to score.
This is Gaillard Du Mesnil’s second season over fences. He failed to score in his opening campaign as a chaser, but he has taken a big step forward this year. His sole success came in the Grade One Neville Hotels Novice Chase.
Corach Rambler (+1200)
At the bottom end of the weights, Corach Rambler is set to represent Lucinda Russell in this year’s Grand National. He is a progressive chaser who continues to climb the official ratings. He finished last season with victory in the Ultima Handicap Chase and his connections will be hoping for another major success in the final month of the campaign.
Russell knows how to prepare a horse for the Grand National Course. One For Arthur scored for her in 2017. This nine-year-old is joint second-favorite at +1200 to ensure she is celebrating after the race again in April.
Mr. Incredible (+1400)
After finishing second in the Warwick Chase back in January, Mr. Incredible has established himself as one of the leading Grand National contenders this season. That race took place over 3m5f, and he appeared to appreciate the extra distance.
The Irish horse has only had six appearances over fences in his career. A lot of his best form has come on heavy ground, so if lots of rain arrives before the meeting, unlike some of the horses in the field, he will relish the conditions.
Conflated (+1400)
With an official rating of 167, Conflated is one of the highest-rated runners with an entry in this year’s Grand National. Gordon Elliott’s horse has been one of the most consistent 3m chasers in Ireland over the last few years.
Conflated is way too good for his rivals under an excellent @jackkennedy15 ride in the Savills Chase for @gelliott_racing! ???? pic.twitter.com/SLERiAo0ae
— Sky Sports Racing (@SkySportsRacing) December 28, 2022
The nine-year-old won the Savills Chase at Leopardstown on his last appearance. He is also a former winner of the Irish Gold Cup. If connections decide to take their chance at Aintree, he will be a horse many will consider one of the leading contenders.
All five of the above horses will be expected to be in the final 40-runner field which will be announced by the Grand National organizers on April 13.
source: Glusea